At Dimers, we feature NFL game predictions and NFL expert picks today for you to make the play. Speaking on NFL Playoff predictions and best bets, we have to start with the understanding that 14 of the sport’s 32 teams make the. Packers -200 — John Ewing (@johnewing) August 2, 2023. Soppe: The Chargers at -125 to make the playoffs has me sucked in. This season, of 18 games (including the playoffs), they only lost by more than three points once. South Dakota State took the top seed, followed by Montana and South Dakota, respectively, at No. Heading into Week 14, Tua led the NFL in dropbacks with motion at the snap, and he had a raw QBR of 63. Baltimore Ravens : Lamar Jackson and the Ravens head into their Week 12 SNF showdown at the. Morry Gash / AP. They got there by defeating the. . The 2021 NFL season has been wild, and Week 13 certainly provided some more craziness. m. UPDATED Feb. The 2023-24 college football season will kick off with Week 0 on August 26th. 99%, but the odds are very small. 3 pick in the NFL Draft. This year, the Crimson Tide’s adjusted probability of 33. NFL Week 10 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. 2023 NFL Playoff Odds NFL team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day. Philly’s playoff odds went up north of 70 percent. Crunch time of the NFL season is right now. Playoff odds tell how likely an MLB team will win the division, wild card berth or win the World Series. 3% – Falcons. Regular season Locks of the Week ATS: 41-45-4 ATS: 125-137-9 ML: 172-97-2. Total weighted change in playoff odds: 100. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page. (10 by FanDuel), a paltry 23 percent chance at the playoffs (FanDuel with sixth-best odds), and a mere 1 percent crack at the title (FD against with sixth-best odds). 5 pointsNFL Playoff Best Ball is largely about strategy, with a particular focus on how you thread together combinations of players from specific NFL teams to create a lineup that can navigate through the playoffs to the Super Bowl. 26, 2022, at 10:51 PM. This is a pretty standard and expected line for this game. The end of the NFL regular season is approaching, and we're looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could look. Money. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Schedule. The round is wrapped up with a Monday Night Football game on. Stats. NFL wild-card playoff best bets *Odds and analysis as of Monday 1/9* Chargers -1. The Patriots may have the highest peak Elo rating of all time — 1849, after their 18-0 start to the 2007 season — but if you were born in 1981, the 49ers were among the NFL’s best for your entire childhood. Despite entering the playoffs with 10 or more regular-season wins seven times since 2002, the organization has yet to make the NFC title game since its Super Bowl XXX win in 1996. The table below represents the Bengals’ remaining games. Kris Johnson 10-26-2023 • 3 min read AP Photo The ups and downs of any pro football season can make betting on NFL teams to make the playoffs an 18-week roller-coaster ride. Depth Charts. Make Playoffs. The Best MLB Playoff Odds from the Top Online Sportsbooks in the USA. 49ers. According to the latest odds, the Chiefs continue to be the favorite on the AFC side, while three teams top the charts in the NFC: Eagles, Lions, and 49ers. With six playoff teams coming out of each 16-team conference, the maximum possible value of the Gini. If the New Orleans Saints are listed at. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Nicky Abbs, who finished with the most points this season. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Simulations as of Sept. Our experts provide insights on their Super Bowl odds, playoff chances, and much more. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. They have the Vikings: Odds to make the playoffs: 92%. Sure, TCU Could Make The Playoff. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. 13, 2022, at 10:03 PM 2021. Next >. Below are Sporting News' predictions for the 2022 NFL playoffs, complete with fresh Super Bowl picks, as our NFL experts Vinnie Iyer, Bill. A positive number (+) means they are not favored to win. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Filed under NFL. Here is our look at the 2024 College Football Championship odds market (odds via our best sports betting sites). We're halfway through the 2023 NFL season, and the playoff races in the AFC and NFC are starting to heat up. Atlanta Falcons +115-135 +240. The College Football Playoff Features Four Worthy Teams — But Picking Them Wasn’t Easy. UPDATED Feb. 2, 2021. 2022-23 NBA Predictions Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live. Some of the favorites will come as no surprise, such as the defending champion Kansas. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Design and development by Jay Boice. In 2009, the Lions got all the way down to a rating of 1223. Tier I: 70% or better playoff odds. . Click the button below to take your shot. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. FiveThirtyEight's 2018 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. FiveThirtyEight's 2022-23 NHL forecast predicts the winner of each hockey game and calculates each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Stanley Cup. Accordingly, we’ve launched our 2021 MLB forecast model, with win totals and playoff odds that look a little bit more regular than they did going into 2020. The NFL is the king of parity, especially with the expanded playoff field. A win on the road would send the Saints into their bye week at 5-8, about half a game behind the Buccaneers (who would have a higher winning percentage at 5-7). The Bengals have seen their playoff odds absolutely plummet after their 1-3 start to the. Filed under NFL. 1 seed in the 2021 NFL season (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire) Below are the TeamRankings 2021 NFL preseason predictions, including win/loss records, final standings, playoff odds and Super Bowl win odds for all 32 teams. The deluge of. Total. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. As we get set for NFL Week 3, the early season playoff picture continues to come into focus. Current playoff odds (via FiveThirtyEight. You can use these odds to help make your predictions on which teams have to best chances to win it all at the end of the season, or which teams will go over or under their season win totals. Social Media. Unlike most NFL betting markets, fantasy football challenges, or pick’em. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. Josh Allen helped spearhead the effort. Our platform offers NFL Sportsbook Odds, Betting Lines, Live Betting, and Point Spreads tailored to enhance your NFL betting experience. The eight ahead of the Browns: the Titans (97 percent), Chiefs (90), Patriots (89), Bills (86), Ravens (82), Chargers (77), Colts (62) and Bengals (42). The Super Bowl race might be a little “dull,” but the playoff race surely won’t be. But those playoff contests have a lot. I'm. All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook. 10 But that line is. 2024 NFL Playoff Odds. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. 2 percentage points. How to Read NFL Playoff Betting Odds. Schedule. The Packers are attempting to duplicate their run from 2016 when they won six straight to grab the NFC North and back their way into the postseason. Odds for the Cincinnati Bengals to make each round of the 2021 playoffs as the field stands vs. NFL Betting Odds To Make Playoffs - Which Teams Will Make the NFL Playoffs?. May 2, 2023. Standings. Make Playoffs. A metric called RAPTOR loves the Raptors — shocking! ‘Tis the season for NBA prognosticating, with the league returning to the court for 2022-23 on Tuesday night. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Teams like the Kansas City Chiefs (-4,000) and Miami. How Each NFL Team’s Playoff Odds Have Changed This. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. As of now the Buffalo Bills have been given +1000 odds of winning the Super Bowl. 19. . . So Seattle’s Elo rating is now 1755, ahead of New. As Gregg noted, the 4-5 New Orleans Saints would make the playoffs if the season ended today (as. The models continue to show a greater than 10 percentage point disagreement on the playoff odds of the Cincinnati Bengals (69 percent for Elo, 52 percent for Inpredictable), Carolina Panthers (24. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections. Against the Chargers, he had a QBR of just 29. NFL Week 8 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds By Nate Silver. Here are the NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook and trends for 49ers vs. Oddsmakers are well aware: The Bulldogs opened as 13. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 NFL playoff projection model has the Browns with a 20 percent chance of making the playoffs, the ninth-best odds in the AFC with seven playoff spots up for grabs. 55 to 0. Thursday, January 12, 2023. 1 spot(6) Giants at (1) Eagles. 2%. Standings. Miami Dolphins defensive end Cameron Wake enters the field before the Week 1 game against the New England Patriots in Miami Garden, Florida, on Sunday. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Derek Truesdale, who finished with the most points this season. Chiefs. 9h Kevin Pulsifer. Arizona Cardinals: Yes +2500 /No (-20000). NO at ATL Sun 1:00PM. Everything you need to know for the NFL in Week 18, including bold predictions, key stats, playoff clinching scenarios and score picks. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. NFL (976 posts) NFL Playoffs (108) Philadelphia Eagles (87) Dallas Cowboys (84) NFL Slack Chat (78) New York Jets (38) Detroit Lions (33) NFL Quarterbacks (24) Las Vegas Raiders (14) NFL Playoff. 59 last week. Week 13. The previous No. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. *Odds as of November 14. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. The Philadelphia Eagles currently have the best odds to make the playoffs among NFC teams. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. Current playoff odds (via FiveThirtyEight. 12, 2023, at State Farm Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and. 78 total) Michigan Wolverines: -260 (bet $10 to win $13. November 21, 2023. You'd also get back your initial $100 stake, for a total of $250, back into your pocket. Running back Marshawn Lynch of the Seattle Seahawks rushes against the Arizona Cardinals on Nov. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. 5 Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) 2nd in AFC North. The Green Bay Packers (8-8) beat the Minnesota Vikings in Week 17, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 62 percent from 31 percent. Jan. But More. Their loss, combined with the Chargers’ win over Tennessee, has. You'd stake $12 on New England to win $10 and place $10 on KC to win $15. Odds for the Cincinnati Bengals to make each round of the 2021 playoffs as the field stands vs. By Neil Paine. They got there by defeating the. After missing the playoffs for the first time since 2008 in 2020, head coach Bill Belichick and the front office spent a record $163 million in guaranteed money heading into 2021. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. The Green Bay Packers (8-8) beat the Minnesota Vikings in Week 17, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 62 percent from 31 percent. 01% as they just started climbing their way back to a . 96. 09-07-2023 • 8 min read. Kansas City and Tampa Bay lead the projections for earning the No. The setting of the playoff field has solidified the odds for each of the 14 postseason teams to hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy. ET. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. 20% –. Atlanta Falcons : Despite having a losing record, the 4-6 Falcons head into NFL Week 12 with +190 To Make The Playoffs odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. NFL predictions Can you outsmart our NFL forecasts? Unlikely to happen! That combination of outcomes occurs in <0. Despite several offseason additions, the team must prove itself worthy before people place their money on Atlanta. The Giants’ current odds are 86%, while the Detroit Lions, currently on the outside looking in, are at 40%. The Cowboys still have a 30% chance of making NFC champs with their current. Daily Lines. PIT at CIN Sun 1:00PM. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. 2023 NFL playoffs: How Jaguars can still make AFC playoffs even with Week 18 loss to Titans Jacksonville's win over the Texans in Week 17 could come in handyWhat to know: The Texans are eliminated from the playoffs and are in line for the No. Every team in the AFC North is at least 5-3 this season, which has set the tone for the. Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning, left, and San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick during a game. With the complete field. FiveThirtyEight's 2021-22 NHL forecast predicts the winner of each hockey game and calculates each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Stanley Cup. Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. Design and development by Jay Boice. More. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. The Philadelphia Eagles currently have the best odds to make the playoffs among NFC teams. The NYT Playoff Picture gives the Saints a slightly better shot at making the playoffs, but not by much. Download this data. 3. W. Rams (4-9) at Packers (5-8) — Monday 8:15 p. Traditional predictions have them sitting with a 75% chance to make the playoffs. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. MIA at NYJ Fri 3:00PM. Daily Lines. Today, only days away from their final regular season matchup. The Washington Commanders had a clear path to the playoffs ahead of Week 15. 4% chance of winning the 2023 Super Bowl, the third-lowest percentage of the teams remaining in the field. The current 2023 NFL Playoff Odds show that the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs are the most likely team to qualify for the AFC postseason at -500 and the San Francisco 49ers are their NFC counterparts at -455 to. . A FiveThirtyEight Chat. What to watch for: The Giants come in riding the momentum of a 31-24 upset win over the Vikings in the wild-card round, while the Eagles are trying. Philadelphia Eagles-30000. Welcome to the halfway point of the 2023 NFL season. 1 draft pick candidates. 538 nfl predictions . Teams. Tennessee Titans (8-4). Friday, January 27, 2023 It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Morry Gash / AP. Tampa Bay Rays (99. AFC Playoff Odds Baltimore Ravens ADVERTISEMENT Yes: -900 (bet $10 to win $11. Elo’s straight-up record of picking winners is 64-26-1 on the year (10-4-1 in Week 6) or a 71 percent winning percentage. More. Here's a look at live odds on NFL teams to make the playoffs on the best sports betting apps: Bet NFL Now: Best NFL Betting Promos & Bonuses . DraftKings Make Playoffs Odds. This page is frozen as of June 21, 2023, and will no longer. Statistical model by Nate Silver. 95. Super Bowl odds. Scores. Odds to make the playoffs: 14%. The Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, and New York Giants have the worst odds to make the playoffs. if the Chargers-Raiders game had ended differently, according to FiveThirtyEight’s prediction. Teams. To save some time, we’re only going to load the schedules for the last two seasons (2018 and 2019). Rankings SoS Wins Playoffs Super Bowl. The 2021 NFL season is over. Three games gave us combined swings in playoff probability for the two teams involved — according to the FiveThirtyEight model, naturally — of more than 20 percent: 49ers-Bengals,. 15, 2023. Schedule. UPDATED Feb. The Rangers. NFL Predictions for Today. The Steelers are the first team in NFL history with a winning record through eight games despite being outgained in each contest. Chargers , at 49ers, vs. Download forecast data. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL. FPI chances to make playoffs: 98. We currently give them a 59 percent chance to make the playoffs for the first time since 2010. And the 538 NFL Predictions are even bleaker, giving the Saints a 2% shot at elbowing their way into the playoff picture: 72% – Buccaneers. Find out how Offensive Coordinator Kellen Moore's philosophy has impacted the. It’s a 54 percent favorite to make the playoffs, up from 38 percent last week. Bucks 3-2. Filed under College Football. 5h NFL Nation. Daily Lines. Additional contributions by Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Kshitij Aranke. The Niners. Clay's projections for the 2023 NFL season: Best, worst offenses and defenses, X factors and team rankings. Elo. Current playoff odds (via FiveThirtyEight. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting. Standings. And if you combine a Giants/Commanders tie with a Lions win over the Jets, the Lions’ playoff odds would jump to 52 percent, per FiveThirtyEight. College Football Playoff odds (according to the FiveThirtyEight model) if TCU, Georgia, Michigan and USC all win in Week 14. Depth Charts. Find NFL odds and NFL spreads for upcoming games at FanDuel Sportsbook. Sports Betting. Get the latest NFL odds, point spreads, money lines, and over/unders from The Athletic and BetMGM. Kansas City Chiefs. Odds courtesy of bet365 as of October 17, 2023. How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers? Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted. Feb. Based off those odds, the Chiefs’ implied probability to win the Super Bowl is. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. Some clubs that sportsbooks viewed as potential contenders, such as the Denver Broncos, have tumbled down the board after tough. Jacksonville Jaguars112. That probably reflects some good luck; historically, Elo ratings have. 49ers:. According to FiveThirtyEight’s NFL playoff projections, the Patriots’ odds of reaching the postseason are currently 19%. However, two other teams are also 7-8 and have the tiebreaker edge coming out of Week 16. 6 seed. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most. South Dakota State took the top seed, followed by Montana and South Dakota, respectively, at No. Such teams are usually rare: From 2015-16 through 2021-22, our preseason forecast included, on average, 5. The Chiefs And Eagles Made The Super Bowl With Grit, Talent, Heart And (Yes) Luck. That will cause a lot of chaos as we get. Seventeen teams have a 73% and 15% chance of making the playoffs. Fourteen teams will enter the NFL postseason, but only two will be good enough to reach the Super Bowl in Arizona. But those playoff contests have a lot. NFL Expert Picks - Week 12. 2023 Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs. Bengals and Chiefs vs. FiveThirtyEight's 2017 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. That’s wild. And making predictions, whether we’re. Ohio State – +900. The AFC playoff spots are far harder to break into than the ones in the NFC. Only the Cardinals had worse implied chances. Sure this Houston team is still deeply. AFC No. Teams. There are just four teams still with a chance to win Super Bowl 57 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. Nov. SF at SEA Thu 8:20PM. 1, the New England Patriots, also won on Sunday, but in much less impressive fashion, defeating the New York Jets 17-16. NFL Odds. We played out one of our Football Power Index's 20,000 season sims, from Week 1 through Super Bowl LVIII, with playoff races, surprises and more. The Lions have a 40% chance of making the postseason, according to projections from FiveThirtyEight, the third-best odds of teams that haven’t already qualified. Playoff odds are also not much changed from last week: Green Bay saw its postseason chances improve the most. Patrick Mahomes Earned A Huge Raise. Schedule. *The Blazers and Pelicans have identical projected records (34-48), but FiveThirtyEight gives New Orleans a 13 percent chance of making the playoffs, while Portland is at 6 percent. Filed under NFL. 3% implied probability -20000. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Updated NFL playoff picture: AFC, NFC seed projections. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. Teams. ET, ESPN/ABC. 11 total) No: +600 (bet $10 to win $70. . Week 11’s Game Changing Plays see the Seahawks settle for a long field goal…and lose. 3, 2019, at 10:10 PM. American League Odds To; Team Record Games. As of November 24 the Houston Texans' odds of winning the Super Bowl, +6000, place them 12th in the NFL. Our suggested NFL bets are based on the edges we find against the best NFL odds from the legal sportsbooks in your state. Louis. Scores. NFL Playoff Odds: Bubble Teams, Biggest Games For Week 12. Key Dates for 2023-24 NFL Season August 10th: Preseason begins September 7th: Regular season begins October 31st: NFL trade deadline January 7th: Final regular-season game January 13th: NFL playoffs begin February 6th. Standings. TEAM GURU RANK PRESEASON PROJECTION PRESEASON PROJ. Scores. After missing the playoffs for the first time since 2008 in 2020, head coach Bill Belichick and the front office spent a record $163 million in guaranteed money heading into 2021. Let’s start by loading up the nflfastR data. The perception after the NFL’s fourth. Only four weeks ago, the Steelers playoff chances sat at a mere 0. Playoff Odds; Elo Rating. 5 on those plays. The rivals squared off a third time in the playoffs, with the result mirroring the first two. More. Week 13 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. The Buccaneers are sitting well with a 52% chance of making the NFC championship game and a 24% chance of making it to the Super Bowl. Click the button below to take your shot. NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 13, 2021: Model loving Colts and Broncos SportsLine's advanced model locked in its Week 13 NFL picks for every game on the NFL scheduleThe Texans opened this NFL season with +20,000 odds to win the Super Bowl. NFL History. A. The Falcons aren’t among the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, and there’s really no reason to believe they should be at this point. Despite several offseason additions, the team must prove itself worthy before people place their money on Atlanta. A positive number (+) means they are not favored to win. We’re midway through the NFL offseason, and sportsbooks have released NFL playoff odds on each team for the upcoming campaign. Compare NFL future betting lines from the best sportsbooks online this football season. The Lions have the head-to-head edge until they meet again in Week 18, and. If they're victorious—or lose by fewer points than the spread—you'd win $150. 23% – Panthers. What to know: The Bills still hold the No. The Packers reached the playoffs. One of those games is Eagles at Chiefs in Week 11. Pick Your Sportsbook. More: Lions Sink Saleh, Even Record After Smothering Wilson. Probability of each 2022 NFL division sending a given number of teams to the playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Elo forecast model as of Dec. Week 10 kicked off with the Chicago Bears defeating the Carolina Panthers 16-13, but that outcome did not affect the playoff picture we all. Next >. McCaffrey, 49ers overpower Seahawks on Thanksgiving night. Washington players celebrate after defeating the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on Monday. As always, we estimate each team’s. Players eligible for leaderboards are those who have played in at least 70 percent of their team’s games and average at least 24 minutes per game (including stats from the regular season and playoffs). Click the button below to take your shot. NFL Predictions. Michigan – +225. The 2021 NFL season is over. 3 of 9 4 of 9 San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) passes against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half of an NFL wild-card playoff football game in Arlington, Texas, Sunday. Based on the average Elo rating of the four conference championship teams, it ranks seventh among the 45 seasons since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970. During the Stanley Cup playoffs,. 2022 MLB wild-card standings for teams with at least a 1 percent probability to make the playoffs, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast model. Design and development by Jay Boice. First Round Bye. But it could be a lot worse. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet. Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. More. How to Read NFL Playoff Betting Odds. Updated Nov. 11h Mackenzie Kraemer. Some of the usual Super Bowl contenders from.